How Europe Elects predicts an election

Explaining our model Attempting to predict an election is an inherently uncertain undertaking. Most election projections, including our own, make use only of opinion polls and previous election results. This means that most election projections…

European Parliament Projection – April 2019

In just one month’s time, the citizens of all twenty-eight member states of the European Union (unless the UK leaves “early”) will have the opportunity to vote in our continent’s largest democratic exercise. With the…

Europe Elects in 2019: January-May

2019 is shaping up to be a very exciting year for politics in the European Union. From the European Elections in May to national elections across the continent, Europe Elects plans to bring you the…

Dissecting the Jáuregui Report – Reform of the…

On Wednesday 13th February, the European Parliament passed a resolution modifying the established Spitzenkandidaten process – changing the electoral and political landscape of the upcoming negotiations for Jean-Claude Juncker’s successor as President of the European…

Four Scenarios for the European election

The political landscape of Europe is getting increasingly exciting as the European election looms. But what are the odds for Manfred Weber, Marine Le Pen or the Greens? Which groups in the EU Parliament are…