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Trustworthy but Meaningless Votes: A Look at How Russians View Their Own Elections

January 2021 has been a momentous period for politics in Russia: as poisoning victim and anti-corruption campaigner Aleksey Navalny (Rossiya Budushchego, RB-*) returned from Germany, he was met with an arrest warrant executed before he had even collected his luggage. This sparked off weeks of protest over his arrest, the…

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Liechtenstein Elections: Minute Shifts, Significant Consequences

On Sunday 7 February, the lowly subjects of His Serene Highness the Prince Hans-Adam of the Principality of Liechtenstein headed to the polls to elect a new parliament, the Landtag. Since mail voting—which accounts for above 97% of casted ballots—is extremely prevalent, it would actually be more precise to say:…

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Portuguese Presidential Elections In-Depth: Strange Bedfellows, a Landslide Victory and Signs of Political Realignment

Last week, the Portuguese kicked off the 2021 electoral calendar with an election with few surprises. Just under 40% of eligible voters went to the polls. In some ways, this is good news. There were serious questions about the propensity of electors to face the hazards of in-person voting during…

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Portuguese Presidential Elections: The Anatomy of a Predestined Race

The Portuguese system of government includes both the office of President and the office of Prime Minister. In this semi-presidential system, the president often fades into the background. Power is largely exercised by the prime minister and the government they form, with the president being tasked only with broadly ceremonial…

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CDU Leadership Election: Angela Merkel’s Heir in Germany

Armin Laschet (left), Friedrich Merz (centre) and Norbert Röttgen (right), the three candidates for the centre-right CDU (EPP) leadership // Photos, from left to right: Christliches Medienmagazin (CC BY-SA 2.0), Olaf Kosinsky (CC BY-SA 3.0) and Wolfgang Henry (CC BY-SA 3.0 DE).  Germany is preparing for an extraordinary election year.…

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EU Parliamentary Projection: Rounding Up the Tumultuous 2020

Politically, 2020 was different in many ways. In Europe, it was marked by voters returning to support parties organised in the two major groups in the EU Parliament—the centre-right European People’s Party (EPP) and the centre-left Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D)—which had both suffered a significant decline in…

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Podcast: 2021 Preview

Happy New Year from the Europe Elects’ podcast team and everyone at Europe Elects! In the second half of our holiday episodes, we dive into what we expect out of 2021! Gabriel Hedengren (@ghedengren) and Euan Healey (@euanspeaks) are once again joined by EuropeElects’ founder and fearless leader, Tobias Gerhard…

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Podcast: Executive Approval vs Voting Intention (w/ Ryan Carlin)

Returning from our well-deserved time off, we bring you news from all around Europe in a jam-packed episode. Gabriel Hedengren is joined by Europe Elects’ Romania correspondent, Andrei Miclea, in a discussion about the upcoming parliamentary elections in the southeastern european country. Later in the episode, we take a little…

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EU Parliamentary Projection: Talent-Show Judges, Folk Singers, and Eastern Europe

What do a talent show judge, a former prime minister, and a folk singer have in common? What sounds like the unpleasant start of a dad joke provokes a surprising response: Personalities from all three métiers have shown that they can disrupt the political party landscape in European countries in…

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The Shifting Political Winds in the Azores Regional Parliament

The Azores make up one of Portugal’s two far-flung archipelagos and autonomous regions. A cornerstone of that autonomy is a regional parliament—which Azoreans elected this Sunday. Regional politics, unlike their national counterpart, have been fairly stable since the return to democracy in 1974. The centre-right PSD (EPP) ruled the islands…

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Kyiv Local Elections: Five More Years of Klychko (UDAR-EPP) on the Horizon

On 25 October, the first round of municipal elections will be held all over Ukraine. The previous Ukrainian local election occurred in 2015, with Poroshenko’s party ‘Solidarity’, known today as YeS (EPP), leading with 19.4% nationwide, followed by Batkivshchyna (EPP) with 12% and the pro-Russian OPPZh (~S&D) with 11.5% of…

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Lithuanian Parliamentary Elections: Second Round, Two Camps Battling for the Victory

On 25 October, the majority of Lithuanians are again asked to return to the polls for the second round of the Lithuanian parliamentary election. A majority of the 141 seats in the national parliament—71 to be precise—are determined in single-member constituencies with a majoritarian system in two rounds. The first…

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Lithuanian Parliamentary Elections: Two-Rounds, Zero Certainty

On 11 and 25 October, Lithuanians will head to the polls to elect their national parliament—the Seimas—in a two-round election. A majority of the 141 seats in the national parliament—71 to be precise—are going to be determined in single-member constituencies with a majoritarian system in two rounds. The first round…

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EU Parliamentary Projection: Second Wave of the Pandemic and Europeans Rally No More

When the Coronavirus arrived in Europe in February, governments took historic measures to stop its spread. Voters were on board and most national government parties gained in polls up until around June. The Europe Elects polling average shows, for example, that Angela Merkel’s centre-right CDU/CSU alliance (EPP) jumped from 26%…

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Russian Elections: Protest, Fraud and Changes Amidst the Regional Elections

On Sunday, Russia holds regional elections. Russians will cast ballots in order to elect their municipal or regional representatives in around 9,000 electoral races across 83 regions, including 17 direct elections of regional governors. Subnational races are far from being irrelevant—in 2018, in four out of 22 governor’s elections, the…

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Latvia: Major Political Earthquake in Riga Elections

This Saturday’s snap local elections in the capital city of Latvia, Riga, turned out to be a major political earthquake, with centre-left Harmony (Saskaņa, S-S&D) and Honour to Serve Riga! (Gods Kalpot Rīgai!, GKR-S&D) losing their decade-long majority in the City Council. Conversely, the alliance between the liberal Development/For! (Attīstībai/Par!,…

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Podcast: From Riga to Podgorica–Elections in a Late August Weekend

In our last summer episode the Europe Elects Podcast is packed with electoral and political news from all around the continent and even has a brand new segment! In this episode, Euan Healey (@euanspeaks) is joined by Europe Elects’ correspondent from the Balkans, Luka Ivan Jukić (@lijukic), to discuss anything…

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Podcast: Europe’s Last (?) Dictatorship (w/ Franak Viačorka)

After a short summer break the Europe Elects Podcast crew is back with electoral and political news from all around the continent. In this episode we focus on the events in Belarus with Euan Healey (@euanspeaks) speaking with our correspondent, Leon Liesener (@laliesener), and Gabriel Hedengren (@ghedengren) sitting down with…

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Small German EU Parliament Parties One Year Ahead of National Parliament Election

Seven minor German parties entered the EU Parliament after the 2019 European election. German polling institutes, different from their European counterparts, religiously insist on not publishing polling data for parties that reach less than three per cent of the vote. A well-established narrative claims that this has statistical reasons related…

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Belarus Presidential ‘Election’: Rigged, but Opposition Remains Hopeful

Belarus, the country dubbed ‘the last dictatorship in Europe’, is heading to polls on Sunday to ‘elect’ their next president. The elections are not free or fair by any definition, but the unabashedly and publicly authoritarian president Alaksandr Łukašenka has faced larger protests and backlash than ever before. Since 1994,…

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In the Spotlight: Three Take-Aways From Galician and Basque Elections

On 12 July, the Spanish regions of Galicia and the Basque Country held regional assembly elections. Here are our three main take-aways: 1) Centrist leaders maintain their large support base in both regions In Galicia, regional president Alberto Núñez Feijoo (PP-EPP) achieved his fourth consecutive absolute majority by keeping a…

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EU Parliament Projection: EPP Growth Continues, Greens Steadying Their Ship

Europe Elects produces a monthly projection on how voters in the European Union would vote, should there be an EU Parliament election today. When comparing seats and popular vote projected to the election result in this article, we contrast them to the EU27 scenario—meaning we exclude the United Kingdom. Our…

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In the Spotlight: Voters Stay Home in Croatian Elections and Give the Ruling HDZ a Decisive Victory

On July 4th it seemed like the only certainty for Croatia was uncertainty. Expectations were that the parliamentary elections on the following day would result in a total deadlock. But instead July 5th brought an unexpected result and with it a stable political future for the country. The ruling centre-right…

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Podcast: La République n’est pas En Marche (w/ Philippe Marlière)

In this episode, we jump back into politics and elections from all around the slowly reopening but still coronavirus-ridden Europe. Euan Healey (@euanspeaks) is joined by Europe Elects’ correspondent from Poland, Michal Konarski (@mkonarski3) to catch us up with what happened in the first round of the presidential election and…

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Croatian Parliamentary Election: Establishment Challenged From Left and Right

Croatia is about to get a new government. On July 5th voters will brave the pandemic conditions to decide which parties will enter the Parliament. But the final shape of the government may be out of voters’ hands, with polling suggesting an uncertain outcome. Whatever the exact result, the question…

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In the Spotlight: Serbia’s Elections Bring Domestic Certainty and International Uncertainty

No surprises were expected in Serbia’s 2020 parliamentary elections and in the end none came. The ruling Serbian Progressive Party (Srpska napredna stranka, SNS-EPP) won over 60% of the vote in the election on June 21st, giving it a supermajority in Parliament. A larger majority than even past dictator Slobodan…

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Serbian Elections: In Extraordinary Circumstances, Ruling Party Looks to Solidify its Grip on Power

With some pandemic-induced delay, Serbs will go to the polls to elect a new national parliament on the 21st of June, postponed from the original date in late April. It will be the first national election held in Europe since the continent was gripped by the COVID-19 pandemic in February,…

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Podcast: Yes We Balkan (with Nikola Burazer and Nikolaos Tzifakis)

In this episode, we once again catch up with politics and elections from all around the slowly reopening but still coronavirus-ridden Europe. Gabriel Hedengren (@ghedengren) is joined by the Programme Director at the Centre for Contemporary Politics and Executive Editor at the European Western Balkans, Nikola Burazer (@NikolaBurazer), to talk…

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Podcast: “War-time spirit” in Europe (with Cas Mudde)

In this episode, we catch up with politics, elections and changes in the electoral schedule from all around the coronavirus-ridden Europe. Euan Healey (@euanspeaks) is joined by Europe Elects’ Deputy Editor, Mathew Nicolson (@SkeggiEyjar), and our correspondent from Poland, Michał Konarski (@mkonarski3), to talk about the coronavirus pandemic and its…

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EU Parliament Projection: Corona Rallies Europeans Around the Flag

Europe Elects produces a monthly projection on how voters in the European Union would vote, should there be an EU Parliament election today. When comparing the seats and the popular vote projected in this article, we contrasted them to the EU27 scenario—meaning we excluded the United Kingdom. The Corona pandemic…

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Coronavirus: European Leaders Enjoy Surging Approval Ratings Amid Crisis

After weeks of anxiously watching the spread of the novel coronavirus COVID-19 throughout China, March was the month European leaders were finally forced to confront the reality of this intensely contagious disease.  On 1 March, Europe’s five largest countries—Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Italy and Spain—registered a combined 1,500 cases;…

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European Parliament Projection: Ireland, Thuringia, and the Aftermath

Europe Elects produces a monthly projection on how voters in the European Union would vote, should there be an EU Parliament election today. When comparing the seats and the popular vote projected in this article, we contrasted them to the EU27 scenario—meaning we excluded the United Kingdom. Our projection for…

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Podcast: Keeping up the PACE (with Dr. Andreas Nick & Miroslava Širotníková)

In this episode, we catch up with politics and elections from all around Europe and later in the episode, Dr. Andreas Nick (@DrAndreasNick), Vice President of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe and German MP, joins Euan Healey (@euanspeaks) in an interview about PACE and its role in…

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Slovak Parliamentary Election: Killed Journalists and Unstable Governments

On 29 February 2019, 4,450,000 eligible voters in Slovakia will have the opportunity to elect the 150 members of the unicameral Slovakian national parliament, known as the National Council of Slovak Republic. Members of Parliament (MPs) will be elected in a single, nation-wide constituency by proportional representation. The election threshold…

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Ireland Election: Could Sinn Féin overtake Varadkar’s Fine Gael?

Background Since Ireland’s last general election in 2016, the centre-right Fine Gael (EPP) has led a minority government in Ireland’s national parliament, the Dáil Éireann. The Government coalition is made of Fine Gael and Independents members of parliament (MPs) and has survived the past four years due to an agreement…

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Podcast: From Ireland to Azerbaijan (with Dr Kevin Cunningham & Anar Orujov)

In this week’s episode, we catch up with politics and elections from all around Europe discussing the latest news from Italy, Austria, Slovenia and Greece. Later in the episode, Dr Kevin Cunningham (@kevcunningham) of Ireland Thinks joins Gabriel Hedengren (@ghedengren) in an interview about the political system and the upcoming…

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European Parliament Projection: National-Conservative ECR Up, Greens/EFA Down

Europe Elects produces every month a projection on how voters in the European Union would vote, should there be an EU Parliament election today. In this January 2020’s projection, the national-conservative ECR Group has seen—as in October, November and December— significant gains. As a result, ECR is now the third…

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Croatian Presidential Election: Second Round and a Traditional Match-Up

The first round of the Croatian presidential election on December 22nd saw Zoran Milanović (pictured) of centre-left SDP-S&D and centre-right Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović (*-EPP) moving on to the runoff with 29.6% and 26.7% of the votes, respectively. With an upset victory over the incumbent Grabar-Kitarović, all eyes are on former Prime…

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In the Spotlight: The First Round of the Croatian Presidential Elections in Three Minutes

The first round of the presidential elections in Croatia has come to an end. In case you have been busy with the Christmas holiday preparations and are looking for a simple summary of the results and their consequences without needing to read lengthy analysis, you’re in luck. Europe Elects condensed…

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Brexit, but for real this time (with Fabio Riccardo Colombo)

Every episode hosts Euan Healey (@euanspeaks) and Gabriel Hedengren (@ghedengren) take us across Europe talking politics, polls and a whole assortment of general nerdiness. In this week’s episode, we catch up with politics and elections from all around Europe discussing the latest news from Romania, Croatia, Finland and Greece. We…

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Established Parties Hijacking the Protest Vote: New Electoral Patterns in Bulgaria

The recent trend of widespread political distrust and low turnout in Bulgaria are, like in so many cases around Europe, in little favour for the traditional political parties. The old parties seem to have, however, found a way to circumvent the distrust and inconvenient frustration of voters while simultaneously maintaining…

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